Thursday, January 17, 2008

Results - CXO Model Versus S&P 500 Actuals Jan. 2006 to Present










Date of Modeling (below)
Projection Dates Below










January 2, 2005
12/31/2005
3/31/2006
6/30/2006
9/30/2006

REY 991 - 861 - 925 - 870 -

RTV 1435 - 1489 - 1541 - 1578 -

Actual 1248
1295
1270
1336










December 30, 2005
3/31/2006
6/30/2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006

REY 1225 + 1348 - 1439 + 1654 -

RTV 1460 - 1505 - 1536 - 1585 -

Actual 1295
1270
1336
1418










January 12, 2006
3/31/2006
6/30/2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006

REY 1222 + 1345 + 1439 + 1656 -

RTV 1454 - 1499 - 1532 - 1583 -

Actual 1295
1270
1336
1418










February 8, 2006
3/31/2006
6/30/2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006

REY 1250 + 1372 - 1464 - 1689 -

RTV 1450 - 1489 - 1517 - 1566 -

Actual 1295
1270
1336
1418










April 25, 2006
6/30/2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006
3/31/2007

REY 1391 - 1483 - 1712 -


RTV 1473 - 1499 - 1546 +


Actual 1270
1336
1418
1421










June 16, 2006
6/30/2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006
3/31/2007

REY 1235 + 1271 + 1442 + 1411 +

RTV 1470 - 1501 - 1549 - 1591 -

Actual 1270
1336
1418
1421










August 11, 2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006
3/31/2007
6/30/2007

REY 1360 + 1409 + 1443 + 1513 +

RTV 1507 - 1553 - 1594 - 1629 -

Actual 1336
1418
1421
1503










August 17, 2006
9/30/2006
12/31/2006
3/31/2007
6/30/2007

REY 1346 + 1394 + 1429 + 1497 +

RTV 1506 - 1552 - 1593 - 1628 -

Actual 1336
1416
1421
1503










November 2, 2006
12/31/2006
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007

REY 1625 - 1660 - 1741 - 1773 -

RTV 1538 - 1573 - 1604 + 1639 +

Actual 1418
1421
1503
1527










November 24, 2006
12/31/2006
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007

REY 1802 - 1835 - 1929 - 1964 -

RTV 1550 - 1581 - 1612 + 1647 +

Actual 1418
1421
1503
1527










January 5, 2007
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007

REY 1689 - 1754 - 1787 - 1687 -

RTV 1581 - 1612 - 1645 - 1667 -

Actual 1421
1503
1527
1468










January 12, 2007
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007

REY 1648 - 1706 - 1738 - 1662 -

RTV 1554 - 1584 + 1618 - 1639 -

Actual 1421
1503
1527
1468










January 19, 2007
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007

REY 1592 - 1648 - 1678 - 1600 -

RTV 1549 - 1580 + 1612 + 1627 -

Actual 1421
1503
1527
1468










February 20, 2007
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007

REY 1597 - 1644 - 1671 - 1600 -

RTV 1557 - 1580 + 1609 + 1627 -

Actual 1421
1503
1527
1468










February 27, 2007
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007

REYT 1618 - 1663 - 1688 - 1616 -

REYC 1420 + 1473 + 1541 + 1531 +

RTV 1557 - 1578 + 1604 + 1621 -

Actual 1421
1503
1527
1468










March 16, 2007
3/31/2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007

REYT 1518 - 1629 - 1651 - 1585 -

REYC 1408 + 1460 + 1525 + 1513 +

RTV 1548 - 1567 + 1591 + 1606 -

Actual 1421
1503
1527
1468










April 5, 2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007
3/31/2008

REYT 1578 - 1600 + 1567 - 1632

REYC 1468 + 1527 + 1516 + 1574

RTV 1541 + 1563 + 1575 - 1629

Actual 1503
1527
1468












April 27, 2007
6/30/2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007
3/31/2008

REYT 1571 - 1591 - 1557 - 1650

REYC 1523 + 1583 + 1569 + 1646

RTV 1547 + 1568 + 1577 + 1655

Actual 1503
1527
1468












June 29, 2007
9/30/2007
12/31/2007
3/31/2008
6/30/2008

REYT 1554 + 1549 + 1602
1650

REYC 1582 + 1574 - 1630
1646

RTV 1550 + 1560 + 1610
1655

Actual 1527
1468














January 11, 2008
3/31/2008
6/30/2008
9/30/2008
12/31/2008

REYT 1460
1479
1492
1578

REYC 1470
1471
1489
1574

RTV 1469
1486
1503
1582

Actual

















Summary of CXO Models Accuracy Number Esentially Correct = 56




Number Model Outputs = 158




Percentage Essentially Correct = 36